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October 16, 2013

Thoughts on Markets During This Political Event

With all the talk of a possible currency semi-crisis from a default I really don't see any markets taking that threat seriously. The US dollar index is still pretty far from its two year lows. This even considering all the quantitative easing that has been going on since those lows. The news media of course blows any movement in the major indices like the Dow Jones out of proportion. It really hasn't been that volatile. 100 point swings! Ohh my! Today saw one of the bigger spikes in the VIX up about 16%.

There are still a lot of stocks in play out there hitting some highs. Something entertaining happened the first week of October. A lot of people thought Twitter's IPO ticker symbol was TWTRQ. TWTRQ in fact was a pink sheet company called Tweeter Home Entertainment. The stock ran up 1,000% on huge volume.

I've noticed a lot Chinese stocks are in play lately. This company called Vision China Media is up so much here. To much I think. It's going supernova now and I believe there is going to be a lot to short once it starts to break a previous days low of the day.

Disclosure: No position in VISN, long TVIX

September 6, 2013

Follow Up on the Baltic Dry Index and Shippers

I made a post on the Baltic dry Index early this year as it looked like it was possibly forming a bottom. Some people believe the index to be an economic leading indicator. I did some subsequent posts on some shipping stocks. Well, the bottom finally came on the Baltic Dry Index and it looks like a bullsih consolidation. It has just so slightly broken out of the trading range it has been in all year. I put up a chart that shows the breakout of the range and retest. We've just retested and it's still moving strong here. Shippers like ESEA, PRGN, DRYS have some very nice momentum charts. A lot of them are coming off high flags like GNK, BALT and SBLK. My favorites are Euroseas ESEA and Dryships DRYS.

August 16, 2013

VIX Setup and Market Direction

After one heck of a run in the major indices this year it's time for a pull-back. At the least a healthy consolidation. I drew up the charts for this post about a day ago and the VIX spiked 12% since then. Briefly, the VIX I believe should spike and the vehicle I like for it is ticker symbol (TVIX) Velocity Shares Daily 2 X long VIX. We are still around the bottom of the trading range for VIX as the chart below shows. Also, there is a lot of room for a pull-back in the S&P 500 as the trend line below shows. So, a correction should ensue. Another major turn of events that very well could and should prompt a pull-back is the FED decreasing its bond buying which they have hinted at lately.

July 15, 2013

Solar and Alternative Energy Stocks

The alternative energy sector is continuing to perform well. I found a couple small companies with good charts that I like. Primarily I like the charts. Jinko Solar (JKS) is one of the solars I posted on Twitter awhile back and it ran 17% today on good volume.

The first new one is Ballard Power Systems (BLDP) with a market cap of around 200 million. BLDP sells fuel cells which is a very promising alternative energy. The stock price just broke out of a triangle consolidation.

The second one I like is Suntech Power (STP). STP is a 250 million dollar company that also just broke out of a long triangle. Both of these stocks look ready to keep running.

July 7, 2013

MEET Flag Setup

I've had MeetMe Inc. ticker MEET on my watchlist since it made that big run about a week ago. It's started a flag on Fridays run with light sell volume on the flag and looks poised to continue to run again. I am going to put a buy stop order in at 1.87 a share. I also added LEE XXII JKS to the watchlist.