Here we go with the two deep values!
I recently ran a screen looking for a particular kind of deep value stock. I was looking for either sub net tangible asset value or net current asset value. I screened out Chinese, semi’s, and biotech as these in my opinion tend to be less reliable as investments in the micro and small-cap space.
One of the more interesting I found was Crimson Wine Group, Ltd. (CWGL). I’ve rarely seen beverage companies below net tangible or NCAV before. A couple good ones that come to mind from years ago were Caribou Coffee and Coffee Holding when they were briefly below net tangible asset value. Caribou Coffee was bought by private equity after I wrote about it. I’ve never seen a wine company near deep value level.
Crimson Wine is currently trading for 59% of net tangible asset value. It is a wine wholesaler and direct to customer. From the most recent SEC EDGAR filings we have net tangible asset value of $221.4 million and market cap of just $133 million. Net current asset value is not far away at $72 million. They haven’t diluted with any recent offerings the past couple years as shares outstanding has been stable and slightly down. Cash has been stable on the balance sheet also. Cash is slightly up over the past couple years.
The company has had a slightly profitable quarter in the last year. The share price has been up and down. The stock had a good run from fall of 2020 to summer 2021 and has been down since. I always like to see a stock price that has had some kind of history of share price appreciation. So many small and micro-cap companies never have any history of stock appreciation so it is always nice to see the market can indeed react to positive performance. The company had positive free cash flow for the trailing 12 months ending Q3 last year of $8 million.
The second stock is Save Foods, Inc. (SVFD). It develops and sells eco-friendly green treatments for the food industry to enhance food safety and shelf life of fresh produce. This one is a small micro-cap with a market cap of $5.3 million. Net current asset value is $6.63 million. They grew revenue a whopping 88% from 2020 to 2021 although there is not an annual net profit in the last three years. Cash has been stable the last three years, however, shares outstanding has been diluted. From the second to third quarter of 2022 share count went from 2.8 million to 4.5 million.
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Disclosure: I currently have no position in either of these stocks.
Showing posts with label Net Current Asset Stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Net Current Asset Stocks. Show all posts
March 1, 2023
February 28, 2023
Starting a Substack For Net Current Asset and Deep Value Stocks
I am starting a substack for strictly stock analysis of deep value net-net's and net tangible asset stocks. Here is my Substack. Here are a couple of the most recent deep values I came across from my screening. This is the first round of interesting sub NCAV or net tangible asset value stocks. Screen excludes Chinese, semis, biotech. In millions. These figures and for the ones going forward I will be getting the most recent numbers via the SEC.gov Edgar search database.
CWGL $221.4 NTAV, $72 NCAV with $133 market cap
SVFD $6.63 NCAV $5.3 market cap
AOUT $105.4 NCAV 115.5 NTAV $124 market cap
CWGL $221.4 NTAV, $72 NCAV with $133 market cap
SVFD $6.63 NCAV $5.3 market cap
AOUT $105.4 NCAV 115.5 NTAV $124 market cap
January 2, 2023
Coffee Holding JVA Stock Update A Net-Net
I've covered JVA on the blog for many years and shared my honest thoughts on the company. It's been so beaten down in this bear market it is now at .62% of net current asset value. In the past it would bottom out around net tangible asset value. This is one of those rarer cases where a profitable or recently former profitable company becomes a net current asset value stock.
If you are new to deep value the net current asset stocks get their attention because of famous investor Ben Graham who taught Warren Buffett. Net current asset value is a rought liquidation value of the whole company. Of course the true liquidatoin value is usually lower given the inventory and equipment and long-term assets are likely going to fetch less than on the books. They are usually priced so cheap for a reason too.
JVA is now merging with another company. Here is a piece of the SEC filing.
As a condition to the Merger, Pubco shall also acquire all of the issued and outstanding Delta securities from the Sellers in exchange for Pubco Ordinary Shares (the “Exchange” and, collectively with the Merger and the other transactions contemplated by the Merger Agreement, the “Transactions”).
As a result of Transactions, JVA and Delta will each become direct, wholly-owned subsidiaries of Pubco, with JVA stockholders receiving approximately $31.5 million (or 4.79%) worth of Pubco Ordinary Shares (the “Merger Consideration”) and Delta stockholders receiving approximately $625 million (or 95.21%) worth of Pubco Ordinary Shares (the “Exchange Consideration” and collectively with the Merger Consideration, the “Business Combination Consideration”), subject to certain adjustments, at an implied diluted value per share of $5.50.
The Business Combination Consideration may be adjusted if Delta closes certain acquisitions prior to the closing of the Transactions. The Merger Agreement also includes an earn-out to existing stockholders of Delta, consisting of $50 million of additional Pubco Ordinary Shares, which will be released to Delta stockholders if and when Delta achieves $70 million or greater of net income for fiscal year ending 2023. The company they are merging with is private so I don't know anything about them.
Disclosure: I have a position in JVA
If you are new to deep value the net current asset stocks get their attention because of famous investor Ben Graham who taught Warren Buffett. Net current asset value is a rought liquidation value of the whole company. Of course the true liquidatoin value is usually lower given the inventory and equipment and long-term assets are likely going to fetch less than on the books. They are usually priced so cheap for a reason too.
JVA is now merging with another company. Here is a piece of the SEC filing.
As a condition to the Merger, Pubco shall also acquire all of the issued and outstanding Delta securities from the Sellers in exchange for Pubco Ordinary Shares (the “Exchange” and, collectively with the Merger and the other transactions contemplated by the Merger Agreement, the “Transactions”).
As a result of Transactions, JVA and Delta will each become direct, wholly-owned subsidiaries of Pubco, with JVA stockholders receiving approximately $31.5 million (or 4.79%) worth of Pubco Ordinary Shares (the “Merger Consideration”) and Delta stockholders receiving approximately $625 million (or 95.21%) worth of Pubco Ordinary Shares (the “Exchange Consideration” and collectively with the Merger Consideration, the “Business Combination Consideration”), subject to certain adjustments, at an implied diluted value per share of $5.50.
The Business Combination Consideration may be adjusted if Delta closes certain acquisitions prior to the closing of the Transactions. The Merger Agreement also includes an earn-out to existing stockholders of Delta, consisting of $50 million of additional Pubco Ordinary Shares, which will be released to Delta stockholders if and when Delta achieves $70 million or greater of net income for fiscal year ending 2023. The company they are merging with is private so I don't know anything about them.
Disclosure: I have a position in JVA
December 23, 2022
Net Current Asset Stocks
As the market continues to be weak I am going to start looking for cheap stocks below net current asset value and net tangible asset value. I just ran a strict scan looking for super discounted assets. This is the first scan I have done in awhile for these as I never thought it would produce much in the most recent bull market. This scan is cherry picked from criteria of price-to-book value of .5 or less, long-term debt to equity less than .3 and return on equity over 1.
The most interesting ones are Vaccitech plc (VACC) with NCAV of $187 million and a market cap of $89 mil. VACC has postive earnings this year with $.22 last quarter and $.42 the quarter before that. Cash has been pretty stable the past year and currently it has $200 mil in cash.
We also have TD Holdings, Inc. (GLG) with $154 mil in NCAV and a market cap of $59 mil. Not as much cash as VACC as the large majority of the current assets are in account receivables. They had a couple recent slightly positive quarters of $.02 earnings per share and $.05. The stock has tried to bottom and has been sideways for months with support around $1.00 a share.
The most interesting ones are Vaccitech plc (VACC) with NCAV of $187 million and a market cap of $89 mil. VACC has postive earnings this year with $.22 last quarter and $.42 the quarter before that. Cash has been pretty stable the past year and currently it has $200 mil in cash.
We also have TD Holdings, Inc. (GLG) with $154 mil in NCAV and a market cap of $59 mil. Not as much cash as VACC as the large majority of the current assets are in account receivables. They had a couple recent slightly positive quarters of $.02 earnings per share and $.05. The stock has tried to bottom and has been sideways for months with support around $1.00 a share.
August 28, 2018
Found a Net-Net
I found a deep value net-net (net current asseets - total liabilities) this week. The company is O2Micro International (OIIM). It has net current asset value of $53.7 million and a market cap around 1.95-2.00 a share of $50 mil. I found it the other day below $2.00 a share with a $50 mil market cap. It's around a $53 mil market cap now which is still a good value given the rich valuations in the overall market. OIIM's past two quarters have been profitable. The chart has good momentum as the stock is near 52 week highs. Disclosure: I have a position
November 9, 2016
Net Current Asset Stock STLY
Stanley Furniture (STLY) is a well known brand in the furniture industry. With the stock just around a $1.00 a share it's below net current asset value or quick liquidation value. Because a lot of their assets are in furniture inventory this isn't a true "liquidation" value. The margin of safety would peg the stock much lower than net current assets. This is still a compelling net-net. It is a good one I believe if only because it is not a perennial one. Net current asset stocks that suddenly become this cheap that are retail with a good brand name often work out.
Net current assets are 19.2 mil. Market cap is 16 mil. I read the last quarterly and its just not being managed well. They have some apparently short-term supply chain issues. It's a decent net-net especially if they can turn it around any. Things are going poorly at the moment. They have cashed out life insurance policies to raise cash. This is as much a turnaround play as a value play. That's something to keep in mind.
Net current assets are 19.2 mil. Market cap is 16 mil. I read the last quarterly and its just not being managed well. They have some apparently short-term supply chain issues. It's a decent net-net especially if they can turn it around any. Things are going poorly at the moment. They have cashed out life insurance policies to raise cash. This is as much a turnaround play as a value play. That's something to keep in mind.
July 25, 2016
Remember SPU? Great Short Setups
Almost 3 years ago I put out Sky People Fruit Juice SPU as a net current asset stock. In about a week it has shot from $2 to $14 a share. No doubt a major short squeeze is going on and just pure momo. It has now become a great short. Another great short is KONE. Both of these will be significantly lower in a week. OPTT is another candidate when it finally loses momentum. Below are the charts of SPU and KONE.
December 2, 2015
MSN and JVA Revisited
I quickly went through a net current asset stock screen. There is not much out there to no surprise. There are a few though that have potential. I've been blogging on them some. The SORL, the SPU.
I've blogged about these two deep value stocks a lot in the past. First up is Emerson Radio (MSN)and it has always been around net current asset value and profitable. I took a look at Emerson again and this is what I see currently. I see cash on the balance sheet stable the past year. It is actually marginally up from last year. Cash is 28.1 million. There is zero long-term debt. Total liabilities are just 3.9 million. So net cash is roughly $24 million. The market capitalization of the company is $27 million. So it is right around net cash with the stock at 1.01 per share. I don't think it is any coincidence the stock has bottomed out and found support around 1.00 the past couple years. You can see that here in this chart below.
They squeaked out a small profit last quarter though revenue doesn't look good. Who knows what is to come. I am going to put a limit order to buy some shares around 1.11 or lower. If the price drops below .90 the thesis doesn't work anymore and I'll take the loss.
Coffee Holding JVA is very close to being a net current asset stock. It's been a net tangible asset value stock for awhile. The price has just been in free fall this year. It appears technically it could be bottoming. I hope it keeps dropping though. I see this as the best net current asset value if we get there. It almost got there in early October this year in the 3.80s. That was the bottom though and it got picked up on strong buy volume. This one really just needs an activist investor I think. Something like that. I don't know a whole lot about this company but wholesale coffee can be consistently profitable.
They squeaked out a small profit last quarter though revenue doesn't look good. Who knows what is to come. I am going to put a limit order to buy some shares around 1.11 or lower. If the price drops below .90 the thesis doesn't work anymore and I'll take the loss.
Coffee Holding JVA is very close to being a net current asset stock. It's been a net tangible asset value stock for awhile. The price has just been in free fall this year. It appears technically it could be bottoming. I hope it keeps dropping though. I see this as the best net current asset value if we get there. It almost got there in early October this year in the 3.80s. That was the bottom though and it got picked up on strong buy volume. This one really just needs an activist investor I think. Something like that. I don't know a whole lot about this company but wholesale coffee can be consistently profitable.
August 4, 2015
Net Net SORL Is Cheap
I've made a couple posts on SORL Auto Parts over the past couple of years. Nothing has changed much with the companies long-term fundamentals. The only thing that has changed significantly is the stock price. It's net current asset value has actually increased from 2013 when it was $124 million and 2014's of $129 million. Right now $141.7 is the net current asset value of SORL. It still sells brakes and auto parts in China. It's a major player in commercial brakes. What I didn't realize about SORL before is how diversified it is internationally. 73% of its business is in China but 27% is international in 104 countries including the United States, UAE and Europe. I'm always skeptical of Chinese companies so I looked around to see if I could find info on where they are sold in the US. I didn't see anything which likely is because they are sold directly wholesale to big companies with commercial trucks. I did find some parts on Alibaba.
The stock is cheaper relative to NCAV than in 2013 with the market cap back at $50 million, NCAV at $141 million and the stock at 2.72. It is priced at 36% of net current asset value. I do believe this would even meet Benjamin Graham's margin of safety requirement! Sales have grown steadily every year since atleast as far back as 2012. Yet the current price to sales multiple is .23. Below 1 is low for about any decent company. The company is profitable yet the PE ratio is 3. On the balance sheet the current ratio is 3.6. Healthy. A cool $18 million in free cash flow in 2014.
I'm very bullish on China over the long-term and I would expect this correction currently going on in the overall China market to end sooner than later. The current PE multiple on the stocks in FXI is around 10-11. If you can get major Chinese companies for single digit PE's that is cheap. Not to mention some dividend yield too. SORL has a lot of support until 2.50. I think the fundamentals make it a compelling buy here.
The stock is cheaper relative to NCAV than in 2013 with the market cap back at $50 million, NCAV at $141 million and the stock at 2.72. It is priced at 36% of net current asset value. I do believe this would even meet Benjamin Graham's margin of safety requirement! Sales have grown steadily every year since atleast as far back as 2012. Yet the current price to sales multiple is .23. Below 1 is low for about any decent company. The company is profitable yet the PE ratio is 3. On the balance sheet the current ratio is 3.6. Healthy. A cool $18 million in free cash flow in 2014.
I'm very bullish on China over the long-term and I would expect this correction currently going on in the overall China market to end sooner than later. The current PE multiple on the stocks in FXI is around 10-11. If you can get major Chinese companies for single digit PE's that is cheap. Not to mention some dividend yield too. SORL has a lot of support until 2.50. I think the fundamentals make it a compelling buy here.
April 14, 2015
Deep Value Stock Blonder Tongue BDR
You guys remember the value stock Blonder Tongue (BDR) ? It's usually been around net tangible asset value over the years. It will run up a bit one year then come back to around net tangibles. Well the stock has recently just crashed. It plummeted from over $2.00 a share to just $.77 a share. I went through the press releases on Yahoo! from the 30th and 31st on the day it crashed and couldn't find a good cause of the crash. They released quarterly results which were not to bad, not to good. I don't get it. There may be no good reason though of course and the stock is just crazy cheap for no reason.
Here are the old posts on BDR. Looking back at all my notes on the stock $1.00 has been the floor for many years. At the last print it traded at $.90 Monday. This puts it at a market cap of roughly $5 million. Net current asset value is just above $5 million also. We are near net current asset value territory. I really like the stock here below $1 and might take a small position in it.
December 30, 2014
The Best Net Net Stocks?
I looked through a lot of net-net's lately and didn't find all that much. On Zacks.com I screened for ones with zero long term debt. That diminished the universe of them along with ignoring all Chinese ADR's. So far this company called The LGL Group ticker LGL founded in the year 1917 seemed the most intriguing. Mostly because the company and stock price has not always struggled. The stock preformed very well in 2010.The company has $9.9 million in net current asset value and a market cap of just $8 mil. $5.4 mil of the net current asset value is cash. The company is not profitable. The last year of profitability was 2011. I put it sort of in the category of Emerson Radio MSN a perennial net because they are both electronics companies. MSN by the way is now selling for less than half of its net current asset value and is profitable.
December 22, 2014
Net Current Asset Stocks and Positon Updates
I plan on going through some net current asset stocks over the next few days as I will have some time off. I plan on using the trusty Graham Investor Site and a basic site like either MSN or Yahoo and just screening for great balance sheet strength with light total liabilities to find some stocks net cash and net current assets. I'll post up any interesting finds later this week. Off of the top of my head I had expected Delia's DLIA to be a successful net-net because of the strong brand and potential they had for a turnaround. I mean they are practically in every mall in America. I see this stock is now a sub penny stock trading below $.01 a share. Luckily I had forgotten about it for some time and never took a position.
The net-net Delcath Systems DCTH I posted on recently where I said I wanted to see it even cheaper to its net cash did indeed fall. When I say net cash that is essentially selling for less than the cash on its balance sheet minus all debt. The stock fell as low as $1.09 and has gone as high as $1.50s. I may have missed it as I didn't pull the trigger but this looks like a flag and it could very well drop even lower. I prefer to scale into positions so if I pick up shares around $1 they might just be half of the position.
My long term portfolio is mixed lately. The Fidelity Emerging Asia Mutual Fund is underperforming the US Markets, however my dollar long position via the ETF UUP which I posted my buy of dollar ETF UUP on Twitter is finally coming around and breaking out again. My Pimco bond fund is basically flat.
The major US indices look very healthy here and it looks like we are heading for new highs any day here. Even the Russell 2000 looks like it will break out here very soon. The Russell has been the laggard. It's often seen as a key index to the overall market. I may do a post soon on it as it looks like there is a failed signal on the chart forming. Failed signals can often be extremely important. Jack Schwager wrote about them in his books.
The net-net Delcath Systems DCTH I posted on recently where I said I wanted to see it even cheaper to its net cash did indeed fall. When I say net cash that is essentially selling for less than the cash on its balance sheet minus all debt. The stock fell as low as $1.09 and has gone as high as $1.50s. I may have missed it as I didn't pull the trigger but this looks like a flag and it could very well drop even lower. I prefer to scale into positions so if I pick up shares around $1 they might just be half of the position.
My long term portfolio is mixed lately. The Fidelity Emerging Asia Mutual Fund is underperforming the US Markets, however my dollar long position via the ETF UUP which I posted my buy of dollar ETF UUP on Twitter is finally coming around and breaking out again. My Pimco bond fund is basically flat.
The major US indices look very healthy here and it looks like we are heading for new highs any day here. Even the Russell 2000 looks like it will break out here very soon. The Russell has been the laggard. It's often seen as a key index to the overall market. I may do a post soon on it as it looks like there is a failed signal on the chart forming. Failed signals can often be extremely important. Jack Schwager wrote about them in his books.
November 6, 2014
Deep Value Stock Blonder Tongue BDR
There is some activity in deep value asset land worth talking about. Blonder Tongue Laboratories (BDR) has always been a cheap value stock. It has never really delivered and seen the stock price follow through. Could this time be different? They just recently reported a strong quarter with actual sales growth and net income!! This has happened before as we can see from some of my old posts on BDR over the years. In 2010 the stock actually ran to almost $3.00 share. On this last quarter the buying volume in the stock is the highest I could find on any chart going back at least 10 years. The companies sales were up 23% and net income was $.06 per share vs. a ($.11) loss last year. Margins improved too. Management said they expect the rest of the year to be improved as well.
Right now the stock is 29% below net tangible asset value of $1.74 per share.
Since 2006 the stock has always found a floor around $1.00 a share. So it's pretty safe to say $1.00 is the current low side and about $3.00 the upside. I made an 8% gain on my DGAZ trade shorting natural gas. I posted the setup on the blog and my entries and exits on my Twitter page.
Right now the stock is 29% below net tangible asset value of $1.74 per share.
Since 2006 the stock has always found a floor around $1.00 a share. So it's pretty safe to say $1.00 is the current low side and about $3.00 the upside. I made an 8% gain on my DGAZ trade shorting natural gas. I posted the setup on the blog and my entries and exits on my Twitter page.
October 14, 2014
Two Net Current Asset Value Stocks
Lots of different things can become of net current asset value stocks. These are the truly deep value stocks that only a true value investor can love. Why? Because they aren't glamorous. They usually are not as sexy as say an Apple (AAPL) or GoPro (GPRO). Net Net's often don't even turn any profit. They are sometimes entering their journey into stock market obscurity.
However, sometimes they can be tremendous opportunities. Once in awhile a net net will be a former profitable growing company that just hit a rough patch. I find that many times these will have a "brand moat" like a major retailer. This can help the turnaround. Sometimes these good or great companies that turnaround and come out of net net territory can be big gainers and even multi-baggers. Yes, multi-baggers. Sometimes we value investors look for companies we that we know probably will never be good again. Companies that are just so cheap like trading below net cash that there might be a catalyst to bring out the value of the assets. Special situations and going private transactions can unlock that deep value. Or the company just recovers into profitability. One such company we will look at today that could possibly do so.
Delcath Systems (DCTH)
This troubled stock DCTH is seeing its stock price hammered lately. This is a struggling company. The reason I am interested in this one is the cash on the balance sheet. The cash has been stable. Let us crunch some numbers on this one. There is 25.1 million in net tangible assets or 2.64 per share, 22.7 million in net current asset value or 2.40 a share and 21 million in net cash which is 2.22 per share. The stock last traded at 1.77 a share. This is 20% below net cash. Technically this stock is taking out all kinds of support and I see it continuing to decline for awhile. Maybe we can see it around 40% below cash. That looks pretty good as cash stays stable.
SORL Auto Parts (SORL)
This is one of those that almost doesn't make any sense. This company has had sales and earnings growth and yet has been a net current asset stock. The last time I posted on SORL on the blog was last year. The stock ran up a lot and has started coming down again. Other than that not much has changed with this company. I can only guess the low price pegged on it is because it is a Chinese company. It's a small company too which is fine with me. The price to earnings growth rate (PEG) is nice here again at around 1.00. Last quarters earnings got shaved a little from forecasts. There is 129 million in net current asset value or 6.65 a share. The stock last traded at 3.48 per share or about half of its net current asset value. I think once SORL is below 3.00 a share it is in the buy zone. If you've read the blog over the past couple months or so you probably pinned me as just a technical analysis chart guy. Nope. I was a value investor before I learned how to read a chart. Why do I use both approaches? Simple. I like every edge I can get. I like to buy stocks that go up and short stocks that go down.
However, sometimes they can be tremendous opportunities. Once in awhile a net net will be a former profitable growing company that just hit a rough patch. I find that many times these will have a "brand moat" like a major retailer. This can help the turnaround. Sometimes these good or great companies that turnaround and come out of net net territory can be big gainers and even multi-baggers. Yes, multi-baggers. Sometimes we value investors look for companies we that we know probably will never be good again. Companies that are just so cheap like trading below net cash that there might be a catalyst to bring out the value of the assets. Special situations and going private transactions can unlock that deep value. Or the company just recovers into profitability. One such company we will look at today that could possibly do so.
Delcath Systems (DCTH)
This troubled stock DCTH is seeing its stock price hammered lately. This is a struggling company. The reason I am interested in this one is the cash on the balance sheet. The cash has been stable. Let us crunch some numbers on this one. There is 25.1 million in net tangible assets or 2.64 per share, 22.7 million in net current asset value or 2.40 a share and 21 million in net cash which is 2.22 per share. The stock last traded at 1.77 a share. This is 20% below net cash. Technically this stock is taking out all kinds of support and I see it continuing to decline for awhile. Maybe we can see it around 40% below cash. That looks pretty good as cash stays stable.
SORL Auto Parts (SORL)
This is one of those that almost doesn't make any sense. This company has had sales and earnings growth and yet has been a net current asset stock. The last time I posted on SORL on the blog was last year. The stock ran up a lot and has started coming down again. Other than that not much has changed with this company. I can only guess the low price pegged on it is because it is a Chinese company. It's a small company too which is fine with me. The price to earnings growth rate (PEG) is nice here again at around 1.00. Last quarters earnings got shaved a little from forecasts. There is 129 million in net current asset value or 6.65 a share. The stock last traded at 3.48 per share or about half of its net current asset value. I think once SORL is below 3.00 a share it is in the buy zone. If you've read the blog over the past couple months or so you probably pinned me as just a technical analysis chart guy. Nope. I was a value investor before I learned how to read a chart. Why do I use both approaches? Simple. I like every edge I can get. I like to buy stocks that go up and short stocks that go down.
December 11, 2013
What I Use for Stock Screens and a Trading Watchlist
Everyday after the market has closed I try to run though atleast 80 to 100 charts with my custom scans on Stockfetcher.com. I just use pure technical and statistical screens. I don't screen any fundamentals on Stockfetcher. For fundamentals these days I just us Graham Investor and look at NCAV stocks.
A perfect scenario when I'm scanning is to find a good looking chart first on Stockfetcher that also is a net current asset stock or deep value around net tangible assets. There continues to be a lot of stocks moving in the alternative energy industry. I've had Plug Power PLUG keep popping up in scans but I missed the last big run. I'm still watching it though. Fuel Cell FCEL has a good chart going too. If I were going to be daytrading tomorrow I would have ETRM on watch with a long bias. This is a very clean flag right here.
For possible position trades
I really like Vapor Corp VPCO. They sell electronic cigarettes. Electronic cigs are a winning industry of the future. It looks poised to breakout here again.
Delcath Systems DCTH is hovering right around net current asset value. On the balance sheet there was about $25 million in net current assets. The market cap is right around there here at $.24 a share. It's in breakdown mode so more lows look like they are coming.
Star Scientific STSI has had some bad news lately. I see it as a contrarian play in the low $1 a share area. This stock in the 10 years I pulled up price history in yahoo has always bottomed around $1 a share.
A perfect scenario when I'm scanning is to find a good looking chart first on Stockfetcher that also is a net current asset stock or deep value around net tangible assets. There continues to be a lot of stocks moving in the alternative energy industry. I've had Plug Power PLUG keep popping up in scans but I missed the last big run. I'm still watching it though. Fuel Cell FCEL has a good chart going too. If I were going to be daytrading tomorrow I would have ETRM on watch with a long bias. This is a very clean flag right here.
For possible position trades
I really like Vapor Corp VPCO. They sell electronic cigarettes. Electronic cigs are a winning industry of the future. It looks poised to breakout here again.
Delcath Systems DCTH is hovering right around net current asset value. On the balance sheet there was about $25 million in net current assets. The market cap is right around there here at $.24 a share. It's in breakdown mode so more lows look like they are coming.
Star Scientific STSI has had some bad news lately. I see it as a contrarian play in the low $1 a share area. This stock in the 10 years I pulled up price history in yahoo has always bottomed around $1 a share.
November 12, 2013
Wandering in Deep Value Land
As many of you know Benjamin Graham had a famous style of investing that sought to purchase deep value stocks selling for large discounts to their net current asset value. It's also called the cigar butt approach. You find these cigar butts laying around and sometimes they are good for one last puff. There are different kinds of deep asset value stocks. There are the cheap for a good reason and then there are the cheap with good potential. The deep value companies in industries that typically turn into deep value traps are biotech and semi-conductors. So many of these have traded for huge discounts to net current assets and even had some profitability but the stocks never come around.
Some of the best net current asset stocks I've seen tend to be in businesses with simply better business fundamentals. A lot of these will even have a "brand moat" they can in-circle around their little castles while working to bring the company back from the gutter. An example of one of these former net current asset stocks that turned around was sports retailer Finish Line years back.
The first stock I am going to look at today is SkyPeople Fruit Juice (SPU). It is in China so I proceed with caution. SPU trades on the Nasdaq and has a market cap of $51 million. It is in net current asset deep value territory because the company has $66 million in net current asset value. I simply took the $200 million in current assets and subtracted the 36 million in total liabilities. So, we are at a discount to NCAV. I bring this one up because cash has been extremely stable.
The next one is Books a Million (BAMM). BAMM has a market cap of $36 million and net current asset value of $21 million. We are not in NCAV land yet but this is something to watch. The stock currently trades at $2.46 per share and NCAV is $1.4 a share. Net tangible asset value is $6.50 a share.
Disclosure: no position in SkyPeople Fruit Juice SPU or Books a Million BAMM at time of writing.
June 25, 2013
Net Net SORL
I recently looked through a lot of NCAV net-net's. These are stocks with market caps below net current assets. The most compelling recent net-net I noticed is a company called SORL Auto Parts.
SORL Auto Parts (SORL) is a Chinese company that develops, manufactures and distributes automotive brake systems and other key safety related auto parts to automotive original equipment manufacturers, and the related aftermarket both in China and aboard. The Company’s products are used in different types of commercial vehicles, such as trucks and buses. SORL is trading below net current asset value and is profitable. It even has earnings growth.
Crunching numbers straight from their annual 10-K filing the market cap is $51 million and net current assets are 124 million. At the current stock price of 2.65 it is trading 41% below net current asset value. Cash has also been stable over the past couple years which is good. Moving from the balance sheet to the income statement we find earnings and a current PE ratio of 4. The PEG ratio (price to estimated earnings growth) is incredibly nice at .89 over the next 5 years. In 2012 the company had free cash flow of around 29 million for the year.
The stock had a big run from 1.80 a share in Sept of last year all the way to 4.00 in February of this year.
May 4, 2013
Deep Value Stock PRLS
I find Peerless Systems (PRLS) to be one the more compelling net current asset stocks I currently know of. The company has a market cap of $10.1 million. There is $4.58 per share in net current asset value and $1.77 in net cash per share. The stock last traded at $3.35 per share.
They've repurchased a lot stock over the past couple years. The company has bought in aggregate 482,111 shares of stock or $1.8 million in fiscal 2013. Additionally, from February 1st of this year to April 23, 2013 they repurchased $230,652 of stock.
February 17, 2013
Looking at Net-Net BAMM and Short Watch GNIN
Net-Net BAMM
I am currently looking for some net-net's and deep asset value worth writing about. After spending some time going through a stock screen I found Books a Million (BAMM) to be one of the most compelling net current asset stocks I saw for the time being. In looking in the stock market sewers for deep value stocks one can often find somewhat of a diamond like Silver Leaf Resorts SLVF or Adams Golf ADGF were. I'm not sure if BAMM is a diamond but it is something to look at if the stock price gets a lot cheaper. So I think it is something to just watch as the price here at $2.40 is just below net current asset value.
Short Watch Green Innovations (GNIN)
Green Innovations (GNIN) traded over $7 million shares Friday and is currently going full zombie. It's up from $1.00 to $2.75 just this month. It's been running everyday and buying volume is eventually going to get exhausted. It's been volatile on the way up so it will be volatile on the way down. To short a momo stock like this it's a bad idea to short when it is green (positive) on the day. It needs to crack the previous days close before it is a short setup. The setup is going to be here very soon. Could even be Monday or Tuesday.
January 28, 2013
Old Net-Net Blonder Tongue BDR On The Move
Former net-net Blonder Tongue Labs (BDR) has 5.5 mil in net current asset value and a market cap of 9.6 million. It has always been one of those perennial net-nets. Always below and around net current asset value. Unfortunately I wasn't watching it lately. It has bottomed out as this chart shows. I circled the failed breakdown. The stock then was in breakdown mode until the lower low turned into a spike bottom. Confirmation of the failed breakdown is where I drew the arrow. Failed signals can be very powerful.
The second chart is the beautiful flag it printed. The chart is real bullish here still even though I missed the perfect setups and price. I'm long biased on BDR.
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