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October 29, 2009

Emerging Markets ETFs

I was not 100% sure that the top was in in that last post a couple hours ago. I'm leaning much more toward the highs are over now and we've seen the top. I don't think we see new highs anytime this year probably going off what's happening now. I just have to be bearish now. The Russell 2000 small cap index has cracked support. The uptrend is over.

Remember we cracked in July on the major indices and I called it a bear trap which it was and got bullish on the indices. That was a powerful signal. Here are small-caps. For the countries sake I hope they can find some support soon and we trade sideways for some months but this just doesn't look good at all.




Another thing is Shanghai cooled off a long time ago. I guess they will lead us again. EEM is more broad but jeez this kind of sell-off on that kind of volume usually doesn't end well. This is very bad.

Emerging Market ETFs EEM EDZ EDC are at the top of my watchlist. These are some of the most volatile 3 X ETF's right now and I think this will continue for awhile. The bounces should be volatile too.



full disclosure:no positions